Pandemics
165 CE – 202564 items
disastermedicineTwo thousand years of pandemics
From the Antonine Plague of 165 to the end of COVID-19’s global emergency in May 2023. For most of that span nobody knew what was killing them: the plague bacterium was found in 1894, the influenza virus in 1933, HIV in 1983. The genome of the virus behind COVID-19 was public within two weeks of the first official report.
How it is built
Each pandemic is a band: three plague pandemics, the seven cholera pandemics, the influenza pandemics of 1889, 1918, 1957, 1968 and 2009, HIV, SARS and COVID-19. Events mark where each was first recorded and the discoveries that explained it. The map runs from Pelusium and Caffa to Jessore, Yunnan, Kinshasa and Wuhan.
Every death toll names a source and gives the range the sources give. The old ones are estimates built on thin evidence, and even the recent ones differ by millions: the COVID-19 deaths reported to WHO are about half of WHO’s own estimate of the excess deaths. Dates are Gregorian, and before 1500 they are given only to the year or the month.
Threads to follow
plague: Justinian, the Black Death, the third pandemiccholera: seven pandemics out of the Ganges deltainfluenza: 1889, 1918, 1957, 1968 and 2009hiv: from Kinshasa around 1920 to combination therapycoronavirus: SARS in 2003 and COVID-19science: how each cause was found, from Fracastoro oncolonialism: the epidemics that travelled with empires
Within two hundred and fifty yards of the spot where Cambridge Street joins Broad Street, there were upwards of five hundred fatal attacks of cholera in ten days. — John Snow, On the Mode of Communication of Cholera, 1855
Items
- ≈ 278 years
Plague appears at Pelusium
Plague in Constantinople
- ≈ 587 years
Deaths from “pestilence” in the Chüy Valley
The siege of Caffa
Genoese galleys bring plague to Messina
Boccaccio’s Florence
Ragusa orders thirty days’ isolation
Smallpox reaches Hispaniola
Smallpox in Tenochtitlan
Fracastoro’s seeds of contagion
- ≈ 150 years
The Broad Street pump handle is removed
Koch identifies the cholera bacterium
Cholera in Hamburg
Yersin finds the plague bacillus in Hong Kong
Plague reaches Bombay
Simond shows that rat fleas spread plague
“Purulent bronchitis” at Étaples
Influenza at Camp Funston
Spain’s uncensored press gives the flu a name
Philadelphia’s Liberty Loan parade
The Talune docks at Apia
HIV begins to spread from Kinshasa
Influenza is shown to be a virus
The last natural case of smallpox
The first report of what became AIDS
HIV is isolated at the Institut Pasteur
The first drug against HIV
Combination therapy at the Vancouver AIDS conference
A doctor from Guangdong checks into the Metropole
The genome of the 1918 influenza virus is completed
WHO declares the first pandemic in 41 years
Cholera comes to Haiti
Ancient DNA confirms the plague of Justinian
A cluster of pneumonia is reported in Wuhan
The virus genome is published
WHO declares a public health emergency
WHO calls it a pandemic
The first vaccination outside a trial
The global emergency ends